The Health Policy Project has ended, but work continues under a new USAID five-year project, Health Policy Plus (HP+).
Author(s): National Council for Population and Development and Health Policy Project
Primary Language: English
This brief describes the potential for a demographic dividend in Kenya, based on the pilot application of DemDiv, a new modeling tool developed by the USAID-funded Health Policy Project that projects the demographic and economic effects of interacting policy changes in the family planning, education, and economic sectors. The DemDiv model was piloted in Kenya by a multisectoral Technical Working Group chaired by the National Council for Population and Development. Four scenarios for the period between 2010 and 2050 were developed. The results show that combined family planning, education, and economic policies boost investment and employment, with GDP per capita growing more than 12 times above current levels and a potential demographic dividend of US$2,500 per person. The brief includes specific and multisectoral policy recommendations for Kenya to successfully achieve the demographic dividend.