Health Policy Project

The Health Policy Project ended in 2016. Work continued under Health Policy Plus (HP+) until 2022.


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Modeling the Demographic Dividend: Technical Guide to the DemDiv Model
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Author(s): Scott Moreland, Elizabeth Leahy Madsen, Bernice Kuang, Matthew Hamilton, Kaja Jurczynska, Paul Brodish

Primary Language: English

Date: 12/20/2014


To meet growing enthusiasm among policymakers for the potential economic benefits of the demographic dividend with a deeper understanding that can promote tailored and effective policy investments, the USAID-funded Health Policy Project has developed a cross-national, customizable projection model, DemDiv. This technical guide describes the rationale and design of the two-part model, which consists of equations describing capital formation, employment growth, and total factor productivity as a function of age structure and other social and economic variables. Applied to any country, DemDiv allows users to design multiple scenarios that capture the effects of different policy interventions and quantify the demographic dividend.

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Demographic Dividend    Family Planning/Reproductive Health (FP/RH)    Manual    Modeling    Report    Global  
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The Health Policy Project is a five-year cooperative agreement funded by the U.S. Agency for International Development under Agreement No. AID-OAA-A-10-00067, beginning September 30, 2010. The project's HIV-related activities are supported by the U.S. President's Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR). It is implemented by Futures Group, in collaboration with Plan International USA, Avenir Health (previously Futures Institute), Partners in Population and Development, Africa Regional Office (PPD ARO), Population Reference Bureau (PRB), RTI International, and White Ribbon Alliance for Safe Motherhood (WRA). The information provided on this Web site is not official U.S. Government information and does not represent the views or positions of the U.S. Agency for International Development or the U.S. Government.

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