The Health Policy Project has ended, but work continues under a new USAID five-year project, Health Policy Plus (HP+).
Author(s): Scott Moreland, Elizabeth Leahy Madsen, Bernice Kuang, Matthew Hamilton, Kaja Jurczynska, Paul Brodish
Primary Language: English
To meet growing enthusiasm among policymakers for the potential economic benefits of the demographic dividend with a deeper understanding that can promote tailored and effective policy investments, the USAID-funded Health Policy Project has developed a cross-national, customizable projection model, DemDiv. This technical guide describes the rationale and design of the two-part model, which consists of equations describing capital formation, employment growth, and total factor productivity as a function of age structure and other social and economic variables. Applied to any country, DemDiv allows users to design multiple scenarios that capture the effects of different policy interventions and quantify the demographic dividend.