The Health Policy Project has ended, but work continues under a new USAID five-year project, Health Policy Plus (HP+).
Author(s): Ellen Smith, Bernice Kuang and Kaja Jurczynska
Primary Language: English
In sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), expected national fertility levels and country-level observations demonstrate repeated mismatches in magnitude and/or direction.Thus there is an unfulfilled demand for better explaining, understanding, and communicating how fertility changes. Accurately predicting fertility is critical for understanding how populations may be expected to change, and for managing expectations about the possible impacts of TFR-affecting policy levers. The USAID-funded Health Policy Project produced this poster for the 2015 Population Association of America conference to determine to what extent can the accuracy of predicting fertility in SSA using the proximate determinants framework be improved by implementing revisions, with emphasis on the contraception index.